Tuesday, March 16, 2010

Swing Districts Oppose Health Reform

swing A new study by Independent Women's Voice, to be released later today, clearly shows voters in key swing-state districts oppose the Democrat proposed Obamacare reform plan.

The survey shows astonishing intensity and sharp opposition to reform, far more than national polls reflect. For 82% of those surveyed, the heath-care bill is either the top or one of the top three issues for deciding whom to support for Congress next November. (That number goes to 88% among independent women.) Sixty percent want Congress to start from scratch on a bipartisan health-care reform proposal or stop working on it this year. Majorities say the legislation will make them and their loved ones (53%), the economy (54%) and the U.S. health-care system (55%) worse off—quite the trifecta.

Seven in 10 would vote against a House member who votes for the Senate health-care bill with its special interest provisions. That includes 45% of self-identified Democrats, 72% of independents and 88% of Republicans. Three in four disagree that the federal government should mandate that everyone buy a government-approved insurance plan (64% strongly so), and 81% say any reform should focus first on reducing costs. Three quarters agree that Americans have the right to choose not to participate in any health-care system or plan without a penalty or fine.

The study focused on 35 swing districts, 20 of which previously voted ‘yes’ on the bill and 15 that voted ‘no’ but are under tremendous pressure from Nancy Pelosi to change their votes.

The studies findings are extremely important because according to the study, “sixty percent of the voters surveyed will vote for a candidate who opposes the current legislation and wants to start over.” This stat stands in stark contrast to what Democrats who favor the bill, both in Washington and in the mainstream media, have been claiming.

They say that the damage to their careers caused by Obamacare has already been done and that they would come out slightly ahead by passing the bill versus scrapping it and putting together something more inline with public demand. But, that is just not the case.

A congressman can buy himself a little grace if he had previously voted for health-care reform but now votes against it. Forty-nine percent of voters will feel more supportive of that member if he does so, 40% less supportive. More dramatically, 58% of voters say they will be more supportive of their congressman's re-election if he votes against the bill a second time. However, for those members who voted against it in November and vote yes this time, 61% of voters say they will be less likely to support their re-election.

It’s not too late to stop Obamacare.  If you live in one of these 35 districts you need to get on the phone, send emails and faxes, tell your friends to do the same, and make your member of congress aware of this study.

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